Tobias Harris Points - Player Prop Bet 12/28/2024

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Tobias Harris

NBA · Player Props

Tobias Harris

F · Detroit Pistons

Points

Denver Nuggets vs Detroit Pistons · Dec 28, 2024

Updated Dec 29, 2024 2:26 AM EST

Analysis

Tobias Harris Points Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (-124/-107).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 12.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 12.5 @ -124.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Tobias Harris has attempted 11.3 shots from the field per game this year, ranking in the 76th percentile out of all players in the league.
Among all players in the league, Tobias Harris measures in the 82nd percentile for playing time, compiling an enormous 31.9 minutes per game this year.
The Pistons rank as the 3rd-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 5 games.
The Detroit Pistons have played at the 8th-quickest pace-of-play in the league over the last 10 games.
The Pistons are expected to see an increase in possessions today from competing against the 4th-most up-tempo pace team in the league over the last 10 games (the Denver Nuggets).

Favors Under

The matchup vs. the Denver Nuggets is a challenging one for three-point attempts; the other team's starting PFs have totaled the 4th-least three attempts per game in the league this year (3.7).
The Detroit Pistons check in as the 9th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
This year, the other team's starting PFs have attempted 2.6 free throws per game (fewest in the league) vs. the Denver Nuggets, struggling to draw fouls.
Tobias Harris should suffer a reduction in output for all stats on account of playing on the visting team in this contest.

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