Tobias Harris Points - Player Prop Bet 11/25/2024

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Tobias Harris

NBA · Player Props

Tobias Harris

F · Detroit Pistons

Points

Detroit Pistons vs Toronto Raptors · Nov 25, 2024

Updated Nov 25, 2024 11:54 PM EST

Analysis

Tobias Harris Points Prop is currently Over/Under 16.5 (-130/-100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 15.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 16.5 @ -130.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Out of all players in the league, Tobias Harris measures in the 77th percentile for shots taken, posting 12.3 per game this year.
Out of all players in the league, Tobias Harris registers in the 81st percentile for playing time, registering a colossal 32.6 minutes per game at home this year.
This year, the other team's starting PFs have averaged 4.9 three attempts per game (5th-highest in the league) vs. the Raptors, labeling this as a favorable matchup.
Offensive rebounds maintain possession and lead to added opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Pistons grade out best in in the league with 14.8 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games.
Tobias Harris will have the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing at home usually raises player performance across the board.

Favors Under

The Detroit Pistons rank as the 9th-lowest scoring offense in the league this year.
The 8th-least up-tempo pace-of-play team in the NBA this year has been the Detroit Pistons.
The Detroit Pistons are expected to suffer a drop-off in possessions today from facing the 4th-least up-tempo pace-of-play away team in the league over the last 5 games (the Raptors).
The matchup against the Toronto Raptors may be a hard one for getting to the foul line; opposing starting PFs have attempted a measly 2.7 foul shots per game over the last 25 games (2nd-least in the league).

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