Tobias Harris Points - Player Prop Bet 11/4/2024

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Tobias Harris

NBA · Player Props

Tobias Harris

F · Detroit Pistons

Points

Detroit Pistons vs Los Angeles Lakers · Nov 4, 2024

Updated Nov 4, 2024 8:45 PM EST

Analysis

Tobias Harris Points Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (-105/-125).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 14.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 14.5 @ -125.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Tobias Harris has converted 50.0% of his field goals over the last 5 games at home, 7.8% higher than he's converted over the course of the year at home.
Tobias Harris has successfully made 1.4 threes per game over the last 5 games at home, 0.7 more than he's converted from beyond the arc overall this season while at home.
Among all players in the NBA, Tobias Harris comes in at the 85th percentile for playing time, tallying a whopping 31.4 minutes per game playing at home since the start of last season.
Tobias Harris has tallied 2.2 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games on his home court, 1.1 lower than he's tallied over the course of the season at home.
The matchup against the Los Angeles Lakers is a strong one for shot attempts from downtown; opposing starting PFs have averaged the most three attempts per game in the league this year (5.6).

Favors Under

The 2nd-most lethargic pace team in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Detroit Pistons.
The Pistons rank as the 9th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league on their home court since the start of last season (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce further opportunities for scoring and assists).
Over the last 15 games, opposing starting PFs have attempted 2.2 free throws per game (lowest in the league) vs. the Lakers, facing an uphill battle to get to the charity stripe.

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