Tobias Harris Points - Player Prop Bet 4/22/2024

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Tobias Harris

NBA · Player Props

Tobias Harris

F · Philadelphia 76ers

Points

New York Knicks vs Philadelphia 76ers · Apr 22, 2024

Updated Apr 22, 2024 11:11 PM EST

Analysis

Tobias Harris Points Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-150/+115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 11.5 @ -125 before it was bet up to 11.5 @ -150.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Among all players in the league, Tobias Harris registers in the 87th percentile for shots scored, totaling an enormous 6.5 per game this year.
Tobias Harris has tallied 33.6 minutes per game while on the road this year, ranking in the 91st percentile -- putting him among the most-utilized players in the league.
The 76ers rank as the 5th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide additional chances for scoring and assists).
Tobias Harris has converted a terrific 2.6 free throws per game this season, a significant increase from his 1.5 mark last season.

Favors Under

This year when they are the visiting squad, the other team's starting PFs have shot 18.6% on threes (weakest in the NBA) vs. the New York Knicks, designating this as a tough matchup.
The Philadelphia 76ers have played at the 2nd-most sluggish pace in the league over the last 25 games away from home.
The Philadelphia 76ers are expected to suffer a reduction in possessions in this game from being pitted against the most sluggish tempo offense in the league this year (the New York Knicks).
The matchup vs. New York is a hard one for drawing fouls; opposing starting PFs have attempted a lowly 2.6 foul shots per game this year when the New York Knicks are on their home court (5th-least in the NBA).
Tobias Harris will not hold the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home city usually worsens player performance for all stats.

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