Tobias Harris Points - Player Prop Bet 4/20/2024

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Tobias Harris

NBA · Player Props

Tobias Harris

F · Philadelphia 76ers

Points

New York Knicks vs Philadelphia 76ers · Apr 20, 2024

Updated Apr 20, 2024 10:01 PM EST

Analysis

Tobias Harris Points Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (+102/-122).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 13.5 @ -118 before it was bet down to 13.5 @ -122.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Tobias Harris has successfully made 6.6 buckets per game this year, placing him in the 87th percentile out of all players in the NBA.
Among all players in the league, Tobias Harris slots into the 92nd percentile for playing time, totaling a monstrous 33.9 minutes per game this year.
The 76ers have been the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to added chances for scoring and assists).
Compared to last season's 1.5 mark, Tobias Harris's foul shots hit have risen this season to 2.7 per game.

Favors Under

This year when they are the visiting squad, the opposing team's starting PFs have averaged 18.6% on three-pointers (worst in the NBA) vs. the Knicks, designating this as a tough matchup.
The 76ers have played at the 3rd-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 25 games.
The New York Knicks have played at the most lethargic pace in the league this year, which ought to lead to decreased possessions for the 76ers.
This year when they are the visiting team, the other team's starting PFs have attempted 2.6 free throws per game (5th-fewest in the NBA) vs. the New York Knicks, making it tough to draw fouls.
Tobias Harris will not have the home court advantage in this game. Playing while traveling usually reduces player performance in all facets of the game.

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