Tobias Harris Points - Player Prop Bet 4/2/2024

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Tobias Harris

NBA · Player Props

Tobias Harris

F · Philadelphia 76ers

Points

Philadelphia 76ers vs Oklahoma City Thunder · Apr 2, 2024

Updated Apr 2, 2024 11:32 PM EST

Analysis

Tobias Harris Points Prop is currently Over/Under 16.5 (-148/+108).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 19.5 @ -137 before it was bet down to 16.5 @ +108.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Tobias Harris has converted 6.4 buckets per game playing at home this year, ranking him in the 85th percentile among all players in the league.
Tobias Harris has made 1.8 shots from behind the three-point arc per game over the last 5 games, 0.6 more than he's converted in all games this season.
Tobias Harris has tallied 33.9 minutes per game this year, some of the highest playing time of any player in the league: 92nd percentile.
The 76ers will likely get a boost in plays in this game from competing against the 4th-fastest tempo offense in the league over the last 10 games (the Thunder).
The Philadelphia 76ers rank as the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 15 games while at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide added opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

The Philadelphia 76ers have been the 7th-lowest scoring offense in the NBA at home this year with respect to 3-pointers.
Over the last 5 games when they are on their home court, the opposition's starting PFs have averaged 11.0 points per game (3rd-fewest in the NBA) against the Oklahoma City Thunder, branding this as a challenging matchup for offensive production.
The Philadelphia 76ers have played at the 2nd-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 20 games.

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