Tobias Harris Points - Player Prop Bet 3/31/2024

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Tobias Harris

NBA · Player Props

Tobias Harris

F · Philadelphia 76ers

Points

Toronto Raptors vs Philadelphia 76ers · Mar 31, 2024

Updated Mar 31, 2024 10:07 PM EST

Analysis

Tobias Harris Points Prop is currently Over/Under 20.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 18.5 @ -125 before it was bet up to 20.5 @ -125.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Tobias Harris has sunk 1.8 shots from behind the three-point arc per game over the last 5 games, 0.6 higher than he's made from three in all games this season.
Tobias Harris has averaged 34.0 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the NBA: 92nd percentile.
This year, the opposing team's starting PFs have averaged 4.9 3-point attempts per game (5th-most in the league) vs. the Toronto Raptors, creating a strong matchup.
The 76ers will likely see a spike in opportunities in this contest from facing the 3rd-fastest tempo team in the league over the last 20 games (the Toronto Raptors).
The 76ers rank as the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games while on the road (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to new chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

As it relates to offense, the 76ers's subpar 102.7 points per game measures as the 2nd-weakest in the NBA over the last 20 games.
The most sluggish pace road team in the league over the last 10 games has been the 76ers.
The matchup vs. the Raptors may be a tough one for getting to the foul line; the opposing team's starting PFs have attempted just 2.7 foul shots per game over the last 25 games (2nd-least in the NBA).
Tobias Harris is expected to suffer a drop-off in output across the board on account of playing on the visting team in this matchup.

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