Tobias Harris Points - Player Prop Bet 3/29/2024

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Tobias Harris

NBA · Player Props

Tobias Harris

F · Philadelphia 76ers

Points

Cleveland Cavaliers vs Philadelphia 76ers · Mar 29, 2024

Updated Mar 30, 2024 12:02 AM EST

Analysis

Tobias Harris Points Prop is currently Over/Under 15.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 16.5 @ -125 before it was bet down to 15.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Out of all players in the NBA, Tobias Harris slots into the 87th percentile for shots from the field scored, posting a massive 6.6 per game this year.
Tobias Harris has averaged 34.0 minutes per game this year, ranking among the most used players in the NBA: 92nd percentile.
Offensive rebounds save possession and spark added opportunities for scoring and assists, and the 76ers rank 3rd-best in in the NBA with 12.6 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games.
Compared to last season's 1.5 clip, Tobias Harris's foul shots drained have jumped this season to 2.7 per game.
The matchup against Cleveland may be a good one for getting to the charity stripe; the other team's starting PFs have attempted a massive 5.8 foul shots per game over the last 5 games when the Cleveland Cavaliers are playing at home (3rd-most in the NBA).

Favors Under

When it comes to offense, the Philadelphia 76ers's unimpressive 99.0 points per game rates lowest in the league over the last 10 games.
The matchup vs. the Cavaliers is a tough one for shots from the field; the opposition's starting PFs have compiled the 4th-lowest FG% in the NBA this year (44.1%).
The 2nd-slowest pace offense in the league over the last 20 games has been the 76ers.
The Philadelphia 76ers are expected to suffer a drop-off in possessions in this game from facing the slowest pace-of-play team in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Cleveland Cavaliers).
Tobias Harris will not possess the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing without the home court advantage usually decreases player production in all facets of the game.

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