Tobias Harris Points - Player Prop Bet 3/5/2024

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Tobias Harris

NBA · Player Props

Tobias Harris

F · Philadelphia 76ers

Points

Brooklyn Nets vs Philadelphia 76ers · Mar 5, 2024

Updated Mar 6, 2024 12:43 AM EST

Analysis

Tobias Harris Points Prop is currently Over/Under 22.5 (-113/-121).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 19.5 @ -129 before it was bet up to 22.5 @ -113.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Tobias Harris has converted 8.6 field goals per game over the last 5 games on the road, 1.5 more than he's sunk over the course of the season away from home.
Tobias Harris has successfully made 2.2 3-point shots per game over the last 5 games, 0.9 more than he's made from beyond the arc in all games this season.
Tobias Harris has averaged 33.9 minutes per game this year, some of the highest playing time of any player in the league: 91st percentile.
Offensive rebounds preserve possession and result in more chances for scoring and assists, and the 76ers grade out 7thbest in in the league with 11.2 offensive boards per game over the last 25 games.
The matchup against Brooklyn is a favorable one for getting to the charity stripe; the opposing team's starting PFs have attempted an enormous 3.9 free throws per game this year when the Brooklyn Nets are at home (21st-most in the NBA).

Favors Under

Tobias Harris has accumulated 2.6 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 0.8 higher than he's accumulated over the course of the season.
The Philadelphia 76ers rank as the least efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA over the last 20 games.
This year, the opposing team's starting PFs have compiled 14.6 points per game (13th-lowest in the league) against the Nets, marking this as a hard matchup for offensive output.
The 4th-most lethargic pace offense in the league over the last 5 games has been the Philadelphia 76ers.
The Nets have played at the 2nd-slowest pace in the NBA over the last 5 games, which ought to lead to decreased opportunities for the 76ers.

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