Tobias Harris Points - Player Prop Bet 2/27/2024

reorder

NBA · Player Props

Tobias Harris

F · Philadelphia 76ers

Points

Boston Celtics vs Philadelphia 76ers · Feb 27, 2024

Updated Feb 28, 2024 1:35 AM EST

Analysis

Tobias Harris Points Prop is currently Over/Under 15.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 16.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 15.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Tobias Harris has attempted 16.9 field goals per game over the last 10 games while playing away from home, 2.4 more than he's attempted in all games this season on the road.
Tobias Harris has played 33.8 minutes per game this year, some of the highest playing time of any player in the NBA: 92nd percentile.
Offensive rebounds save possession and result in added chances for scoring and assists, and the Philadelphia 76ers rank 9thbest in in the NBA with 11.5 offensive rebounds per game over the last 10 games.
Out of all players in the NBA, Tobias Harris rates in the 87th percentile for free throws converted, totaling a colossal 3.0 per game this year.
The matchup against Boston is a strong one for getting to the foul line; the opposing team's starting PFs have attempted a monstrous 3.9 free throws per game this year when the Celtics are on their home court (23rd-most in the NBA).

Favors Under

The Philadelphia 76ers have been the least aggressive offense in the league over the last 25 games when it comes to shots from behind the three-point arc.
The matchup vs. the Celtics is a hard one; they have allowed the 14th-least points per game in the league to opposing starting PFs this year (14.5).
The 10th-most sluggish pace-of-play offense in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the 76ers.
The Boston Celtics have played at the 2nd-most sluggish pace in the league over the last 5 games, which ought to reduce possessions for the Philadelphia 76ers.
Over the last 15 games when they are away from home, opposing squads have come down with 12.4 offensive boards per game (most in the NBA) vs. the Celtics (preserving possessions that can produce further chances for offense).