Tobias Harris Points - Player Prop Bet 2/5/2024

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NBA · Player Props

Tobias Harris

F · Philadelphia 76ers

Points

Philadelphia 76ers vs Dallas Mavericks · Feb 5, 2024

Updated Feb 6, 2024 12:07 AM EST

Analysis

Tobias Harris Points Prop is currently Over/Under 29.5 (-137/-137).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 22.5 @ -137 before it was bet up to 29.5 @ -137.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Tobias Harris has successfully made 42.3% of his three-pointers over the last 10 games at home, 10.9% higher than he's made from 3-point range overall this season with the home court advantage.
Tobias Harris has averaged 34.0 minutes per game playing at home this year, putting him in the 90th percentile -- putting him among the most-utilized players in the league.
The matchup against the Mavericks is a strong one for shot attempts from the field; the other team's starting PFs have tallied the 30th-most field goal attempts per game in the league this year (16.0).
The Mavericks have played at the 4th-fastest tempo in the NBA away from their home stadium this year, which should boost possessions for the Philadelphia 76ers.
The Philadelphia 76ers check in as the 8th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games playing at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Tobias Harris has averaged 0.1 technical fouls per game this year, putting him among the highest-fouling players in the league when it comes to getting T'ed up (77th percentile).
The Philadelphia 76ers check in as the least aggressive offense in the NBA over the last 25 games with respect to 3-point attempts.
The Philadelphia 76ers have played at the 7th-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 10 games.
The Dallas Mavericks have allowed the 5th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.3) in the NBA to opposing squads this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce added chances for scoring and assists).