Tobias Harris Points - Player Prop Bet 1/30/2024

NBA · Player Props

Tobias Harris

F · Philadelphia 76ers

Points

Golden State Warriors vs Philadelphia 76ers · Jan 30, 2024

Updated Jan 31, 2024 3:12 AM EST

Analysis

Tobias Harris Points Prop is currently Over/Under 17.5 (-112/-108).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 18.5 @ -122 before it was bet down to 17.5 @ -108.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Tobias Harris has attempted 15.3 shots per game over the last 15 games, 2.3 more than he's attempted in all games this year.
Tobias Harris has been on the court for 33.7 minutes per game while on the road this year, ranking him in the 90th percentile -- some of the highest playing time of any player in the league.
The 76ers check in as the 6th-highest scoring offense in the league this year.
The matchup vs. Golden State is a good one for field goal attempts; when the Warriors are on their home court, the opposition's starting PFs have averaged the 29th-most FG attempts per game in the NBA this year (15.8).
The Warriors have played at the 6th-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games, which should increase opportunities for the 76ers.

Favors Under

Tobias Harris has averaged 0.2 technical fouls per game over the last 5 games when playing on the road, 0.2 more than he's averaged over the course of the year on the road.
The 76ers have played at the 8th-least up-tempo pace in the NBA over the last 10 games.
The 76ers have been the 6th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore lead to fewer chances for scoring and assists).
While on their home court, the Golden State Warriors have given up the 6th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.4) in the league to the other team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
This year when they are away from home, the opposing team's starting PFs have attempted 3.1 foul shots per game (7th-fewest in the NBA) against the Golden State Warriors, facing an uphill battle to get to the free-throw line.