Tobias Harris Points - Player Prop Bet 1/29/2024

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NBA · Player Props

Tobias Harris

F · Philadelphia 76ers

Points

Portland Trail Blazers vs Philadelphia 76ers · Jan 29, 2024

Updated Jan 30, 2024 3:58 AM EST

Analysis

Tobias Harris Points Prop is currently Over/Under 24.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 23.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 24.5 @ -125.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Tobias Harris has attempted 16.8 field goals per game over the last 5 games when playing away from home, 2.5 higher than he's attempted overall this year on the road.
Out of all players in the league, Tobias Harris comes in at the 92nd percentile for playing time, putting up a colossal 34.2 minutes per game this year.
The Philadelphia 76ers rank as the 10th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce new chances for scoring and assists).
Over the last 5 games when they are on the road, opposing teams have brought down 7.4 offensive rebounds per game (fewest in the league) vs. the Trail Blazers (losing possessions that could otherwise create additional chances for offense).
Tobias Harris has sunk 4.6 foul shots per game over the last 5 games, 1.5 higher than he's converted over the course of the season.

Favors Under

Tobias Harris has committed 0.2 technical fouls per game over the last 5 games while playing away from home, 0.2 more than he's committed over the course of the season on the road.
The 76ers rank as the least aggressive offense in the NBA over the last 15 games in regard to three-point attempts.
This year, the opposing team's starting PFs have shot 29.6% on threes (12th-weakest in the NBA) against the Portland Trail Blazers, identifying this as a hard matchup.
The 8th-least up-tempo tempo team in the league over the last 5 games has been the Philadelphia 76ers.
The Trail Blazers have played at the 8th-slowest pace-of-play in the league in their home city this year, which should lead to fewer plays for the Philadelphia 76ers.