Tobias Harris Points - Player Prop Bet 1/12/2024

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Tobias Harris

NBA · Player Props

Tobias Harris

F · Philadelphia 76ers

Points

Philadelphia 76ers vs Sacramento Kings · Jan 12, 2024

Updated Jan 13, 2024 12:34 AM EST

Analysis

Tobias Harris Points Prop is currently Over/Under 23.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 22.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 23.5 @ -125.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Tobias Harris has attempted 15.4 field goals per game over the last 5 games, 2.3 higher than he's attempted overall this year.
Tobias Harris has converted 46.1% of his shots from downtown over the last 5 games at home, 16.5% more than he's converted from downtown in all games this year on his home court.
Tobias Harris has averaged 33.7 minutes per game on his home court this year, putting him in the 90th percentile -- seeing the court more than most players in the NBA.
This year, opposing starting PFs have shot 52.6% on shot attempts from the field (25th-best in the NBA) against the Sacramento Kings, branding this as a favorable matchup.
The Philadelphia 76ers have played at the 9th-fastest pace-of-play in the NBA while playing at home this year.

Favors Under

Tobias Harris has averaged 0.2 technical fouls per game over the last 5 games, 0.1 more than he's averaged overall this year.
With respect to three-point attempts, the least aggressive offense in the league with the home court advantage over the last 5 games has been the Philadelphia 76ers.
The matchup vs. the Sacramento Kings may be a difficult one for getting to the charity stripe; the opposition's starting PFs have attempted a measly 2.4 foul shots per game over the last 20 games (14th-least in the NBA).

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