Tobias Harris Points - Player Prop Bet 1/10/2024

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Tobias Harris

NBA · Player Props

Tobias Harris

F · Philadelphia 76ers

Points

Atlanta Hawks vs Philadelphia 76ers · Jan 10, 2024

Updated Jan 11, 2024 2:25 AM EST

Analysis

Tobias Harris Points Prop is currently Over/Under 20.5 (-135/+105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 20.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 20.5 @ -135.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Tobias Harris has attempted 17.0 field goals per game over the last 5 games when playing on the road, 3.2 more than he's attempted over the course of the year on the road.
Out of all players in the NBA, Tobias Harris slots into the 90th percentile for playing time, compiling a massive 33.8 minutes per game this year.
The Philadelphia 76ers have been the 6th-highest scoring offense in the league this year.
The matchup against the Hawks is a strong one for field goals; the opposition's starting PFs have shot for the 28th-highest field goal rate in the league this year (54.1%).
The Atlanta Hawks have played at the 3rd-fastest pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games, which ought to lead to increased plays for the 76ers.

Favors Under

The 8th-slowest pace road team in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Philadelphia 76ers.
The Philadelphia 76ers have been the 4th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate extra opportunities for scoring and assists).
The Hawks have allowed the 4th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.6) in the NBA to opposing squads over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to added chances for scoring and assists).
Over the last 15 games, opposing clubs have attempted 24.0 foul shots per game (9th-highest in the NBA) vs. the Hawks, finding it easy to get to the foul line.
Tobias Harris will likely experience a decrease in output for all stats considering playing away from home in this contest.

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