Tobias Harris Points - Player Prop Bet 12/27/2023

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Tobias Harris

NBA · Player Props

Tobias Harris

F · Philadelphia 76ers

Points

Orlando Magic vs Philadelphia 76ers · Dec 27, 2023

Updated Dec 27, 2023 11:55 PM EST

Analysis

Tobias Harris Points Prop is currently Over/Under 19.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 20.5 @ -105 before it was bet down to 19.5 @ -105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Tobias Harris has converted 50.1% of his treys over the last 5 games on the road, 9.9% higher than he's made from beyond the arc over the course of the year when playing away from home.
Among all players in the NBA, Tobias Harris rates in the 89th percentile for playing time, tallying an enormous 33.8 minutes per game away from home this year.
This year when they are on the road, opposing starting PFs have averaged 49.9% on field goals (21st-highest in the league) against the Magic, making this a favorable matchup.
The 76ers have played at the 6th-fastest pace in the league over the last 5 games as the visting team.
The Magic have played at the 10th-speediest pace in the NBA this year, which should lead to increased opportunities for the Philadelphia 76ers.

Favors Under

In terms of shot attempts from downtown, the 9th-least aggressive offense in the NBA this year has been the Philadelphia 76ers.
Tobias Harris figures to suffer a drop-off in output in all facets of the game due to being on the road in this matchup.

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