Tobias Harris Points - Player Prop Bet 11/19/2023

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NBA · Player Props

Tobias Harris

F · Philadelphia 76ers

Points

Brooklyn Nets vs Philadelphia 76ers · Nov 19, 2023

Updated Nov 19, 2023 7:43 PM EST

Analysis

Tobias Harris Points Prop is currently Over/Under 17.5 (-110/-125).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 17.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 17.5 @ -125.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Tobias Harris has successfully made a whopping 7.8 buckets per game this season, significantly higher than his 5.8 rate last season.
Tobias Harris has successfully made a terrific 62.9% of his 3-point shots this season, significantly higher than his 37.1 rate last season.
Tobias Harris has played 36.2 minutes per game while at home this year, placing him in the 99th percentile -- putting him among the most-utilized players in the league.
The 76ers check in as the 3rd-highest scoring offense in the league with the home court advantage this year.
The Philadelphia 76ers have played at the 10th-fastest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 10 games without the home court advantage.

Favors Under

Tobias Harris has averaged 0.1 technical fouls per game while at home this year, putting him in the 77th percentile -- among the league's most foul-prone when it comes to getting T'ed up.
Since the start of last season, the opposing team's starting SFs have averaged 41.2% on shot attempts from the field (14th-weakest in the league) against the Nets, designating this as a difficult matchup.
The Brooklyn Nets have played at the 7th-most sluggish tempo in the NBA over the last 5 games, which should decrease opportunities for the 76ers.
The Philadelphia 76ers have been the 9th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league while playing at home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate further chances for scoring and assists).
The matchup vs. the Brooklyn Nets is a tough one for getting to the charity stripe; opposing starting SFs have attempted a mere 2.5 free throws per game since the start of last season (9th-least in the league).