Tobias Harris Points - Player Prop Bet 10/26/2023

NBA · Player Props

Tobias Harris

F · Philadelphia 76ers

Points

Milwaukee Bucks vs Philadelphia 76ers · Oct 26, 2023

Updated Oct 26, 2023 11:36 PM EST

Analysis

Tobias Harris Points Prop is currently Over/Under 15.5 (+102/-124).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 15.5 @ -111 before it was bet down to 15.5 @ -124.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Tobias Harris has made 8.0 baskets per game over the last 5 games on the road, core.FORMAT(ABS(DIFF_RATE),1) higher than he's converted in all games this year while on the road.
Tobias Harris has tallied 32.2 minutes per game while playing away from home this year, putting him in the 86th percentile -- putting him among the most-utilized players in the NBA.
The 76ers have been the 10th-highest scoring offense in the NBA while playing on the road this year.
The {OPP_TEAM} are expected to see a spike in possessions in this game from facing the 3rd-most up-tempo tempo road team in the league over the last 25 games (the Bucks).
The Bucks have given up the least offensive rebounds per game (7.9) in the NBA to their opposition over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce additional chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Tobias Harris has accumulated 3.8 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games while at home, core.FORMAT(ABS(DIFF_RATE),1) higher than he's accumulated in all games this year at home.
The matchup vs. the Bucks is a difficult one for 3-point attempts; the opposing team's starting SFs have averaged the 15th-least 3-point attempts per game in the NBA this year (4.3).
The slowest pace-of-play home offense in the NBA over the last 25 games has been the Philadelphia 76ers.
Offensive rebounds continue possession and spark further opportunities for scoring and assists, but the 76ers grade out 4thworst in in the league as the road team with a mere 8.9 offensive rebounds per game this year.
Tobias Harris will not enjoy the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home court tends to reduces player performance in all facets of the game.