Tobias Harris Points - Player Prop Bet 5/11/2023

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Tobias Harris

NBA · Player Props

Tobias Harris

F · Philadelphia 76ers

Points

Philadelphia 76ers vs Boston Celtics · May 11, 2023

Updated May 11, 2023 11:11 PM EST

Analysis

Tobias Harris Points Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (-122/-106).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 13.5 @ -118 before it was bet up to 13.5 @ -122.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Tobias Harris has been on the court for 32.6 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-used players in the league: 88th percentile.
The Philadelphia 76ers have been the most efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA this year.
The matchup against Boston is a favorable one for threes; when the Celtics are the visiting team, the other team's starting SFs have put up the 28th-highest three rate in the NBA this year (39.0%).
Tobias Harris has sunk 88.2% of his foul shots on his home court this year, placing him in the 82nd percentile out of all players in the NBA.
Tobias Harris will have the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing in your home city tends to increases player performance in all facets of the game.

Favors Under

Tobias Harris has attempted a measly 11.6 shots per game this season, quite a bit less than his 13.9 mark last season.
Tobias Harris has tallied 3.2 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games while playing at home, 1.0 higher than he's tallied over the course of the year at home.
The Philadelphia 76ers have played at the slowest pace in the league over the last 25 games.
The Celtics have played at the 3rd-most lethargic pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games, which ought to decrease possessions for the 76ers.
The Philadelphia 76ers check in as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate extra chances for scoring and assists).

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