Tobias Harris Points - Player Prop Bet 5/9/2023

NBA · Player Props

Tobias Harris

F · Philadelphia 76ers

Points

Boston Celtics vs Philadelphia 76ers · May 9, 2023

Updated May 9, 2023 11:01 PM EST

Analysis

Tobias Harris Points Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (+115/-145).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 13.5 @ -125 before it was bet down to 13.5 @ -145.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Tobias Harris has made 50.7% of his 3-point attempts over the last 10 games on the road, 12.9% higher than he's made from 3-point range over the course of the season away from his home court.
Tobias Harris has played 32.1 minutes per game away from home this year, ranking him in the 86th percentile -- seeing the court more than most players in the league.
The Philadelphia 76ers have been the 7th-highest scoring offense in the NBA when playing away from home this year.
The matchup vs. the Celtics is a good one for 3-pointers; the opposition's starting SFs have shot for the 26th-highest 3-point rate in the NBA this year (36.5%).
While at home, the Celtics have given up the 5th-least offensive rebounds per game (9.5) in the NBA to the other team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce further opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

The Philadelphia 76ers have played at the most sluggish pace in the league over the last 25 games.
The Celtics have played at the 3rd-most lethargic pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games, which should decrease plays for the 76ers.
The Philadelphia 76ers have been the worst offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore lead to fewer chances for scoring and assists).
The matchup against the Celtics may be a tough one for getting to the free throw line; the other team's starting SFs have attempted just 1.2 foul shots per game over the last 15 games (15th-least in the NBA).
Tobias Harris will not receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing without the home court advantage generally reduces stat production across the board.