Tobias Harris Points - Player Prop Bet 5/1/2023

NBA · Player Props

Tobias Harris

F · Philadelphia 76ers

Points

Boston Celtics vs Philadelphia 76ers · May 1, 2023

Updated May 1, 2023 11:01 PM EST

Analysis

Tobias Harris Points Prop is currently Over/Under 16.5 (-140/+110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 16.5 @ -125 before it was bet up to 16.5 @ -140.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Tobias Harris has converted 51.2% of his treys over the last 10 games on the road, 13.5% more than he's made from beyond the arc overall this year while playing on the road.
Tobias Harris has been on the court for 31.9 minutes per game while playing away from home this year, ranking him in the 86th percentile -- ranking among the most used players in the NBA.
The Philadelphia 76ers rank as the 3rd-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 15 games when playing on the road.
The matchup vs. the Celtics is a good one for 3-pointers; opposing starting SFs have posted the 28th-highest three rate in the league this year (37.0%).
The Celtics have played at the 8th-fastest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 10 games in their home city, which ought to increase possessions for the 76ers.

Favors Under

The Philadelphia 76ers have played at the most lethargic pace-of-play in the league over the last 25 games.
The Philadelphia 76ers rank as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce additional chances for scoring and assists).
While playing at home, the Celtics have allowed the 3rd-most offensive rebounds per game (13.4) in the NBA to the other team over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide new chances for scoring and assists).
The matchup against the Celtics may be a challenging one for getting to the foul line; opposing starting SFs have attempted a lowly 1.7 foul shots per game over the last 20 games (12th-least in the league).
Tobias Harris will not have the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing while traveling tends to reduces player production for all stats.