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Tobias Harris

Tobias Harris Points
Player Prop - 4/2/2023

Milwaukee Bucks vs Philadelphia 76ers

 
 
 
Tobias Harris Points Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (-128/+104).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 13.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 12.5 @ +104.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Tobias Harris has made 65.3% of his attempts from downtown over the last 5 games on the road, 27.3% more than he's made from three over the course of the season while playing on the road.
  • Tobias Harris has been on the court for 31.8 minutes per game away from his home court this year, placing him in the 85th percentile -- some of the highest playing time of any player in the league.
  • The Philadelphia 76ers rank as the 3rd-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 10 games on the road.
  • The Bucks have played at the fastest pace in the league over the last 20 games, which should raise possessions for the 76ers.
  • The matchup against the Bucks may be a good one for getting to the foul line; the opposing team's starting SFs have attempted a massive 3.7 free throws per game over the last 20 games (24th-most in the NBA).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Tobias Harris has attempted a measly 11.6 shots from the field per game this year, quite a bit less than his 13.9 rate last year.
  • The matchup against the Bucks is a challenging one; they have allowed the 10th-least points per game in the league to the opposition's starting SFs over the last 25 games (13.6).
  • The Philadelphia 76ers have played at the most lethargic pace-of-play in the league over the last 25 games.
  • The Philadelphia 76ers have been the 3rd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league when playing on the road this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate extra opportunities for scoring and assists).
  • The Bucks have allowed the 2nd-most offensive rebounds per game (11.8) in the NBA to their opposition over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create additional chances for scoring and assists).

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