Tobias Harris Points - Player Prop Bet 3/29/2023

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NBA · Player Props

Tobias Harris

F · Philadelphia 76ers

Points

Philadelphia 76ers vs Dallas Mavericks · Mar 29, 2023

Updated Mar 29, 2023 11:21 PM EST

Analysis

Tobias Harris Points Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (-120/-110).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Tobias Harris has made 62.0% of his shots from behind the three-point arc over the last 5 games, 22.9% more than he's converted from three overall this season.
Tobias Harris has played 32.6 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-used players in the NBA: 88th percentile.
The Philadelphia 76ers rank as the 4th-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 15 games.
The matchup vs. Dallas is a good one for threes; when the Mavericks are away from home, opposing starting SFs have posted the 25th-highest 3-point rate in the league this year (38.0%).
The matchup against the Mavericks is a favorable one for getting to the foul line; the opposing team's starting SFs have attempted a whopping 3.6 free throws per game this year (26th-most in the league).

Favors Under

Tobias Harris has attempted just 11.7 shots from the field per game this season, quite a bit lower than his 13.9 rate last season.
The Philadelphia 76ers have played at the most sluggish pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 10 games at home.
The Mavericks have played at the slowest pace in the NBA away from their home stadium this year, which should lead to fewer possessions for the 76ers.
The Philadelphia 76ers have been the worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games while at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
While playing on the road, the Mavericks have allowed the most offensive rebounds per game (14.8) in the league to opposing clubs over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce added opportunities for scoring and assists).