Tobias Harris Points - Player Prop Bet 3/7/2023

NBA · Player Props

Tobias Harris

F · Philadelphia 76ers

Points

Minnesota Timberwolves vs Philadelphia 76ers · Mar 7, 2023

Updated Mar 8, 2023 12:31 AM EST

Analysis

Tobias Harris Points Prop is currently Over/Under 15.5 (-120/-102).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 16.5 @ -106 before it was bet down to 15.5 @ -102.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Tobias Harris has successfully made 2.0 threes per game over the last 15 games on the road, 0.6 higher than he's made from 3-point range overall this year while playing away from home.
Tobias Harris has been on the court for 34.8 minutes per game when playing on the road this year, putting him in the 95th percentile -- putting him among the most-used players in the NBA.
The Philadelphia 76ers rank as the 5th-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the league this year.
The matchup against the Timberwolves is a strong one for 3-point attempts; the other team's starting SFs have totaled the 26th-most three attempts per game in the NBA this year (5.5).
The Timberwolves have played at the quickest pace in the NBA this year, which ought to boost opportunities for the 76ers.

Favors Under

Tobias Harris has committed 3.4 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.1 more than he's committed overall this season.
The Philadelphia 76ers have played at the 2nd-least up-tempo pace in the NBA over the last 10 games.
The Philadelphia 76ers check in as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate additional chances for scoring and assists).
The Timberwolves have given up the 2nd-most offensive rebounds per game (13.4) in the NBA to their opposition over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
The matchup vs. Minnesota may be a hard one for getting to the foul line; opposing starting SFs have attempted a lowly 1.7 foul shots per game over the last 15 games when the Timberwolves are on their home court (12th-least in the league).