Tobias Harris Points - Player Prop Bet 3/1/2023

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Tobias Harris

NBA · Player Props

Tobias Harris

F · Philadelphia 76ers

Points

Miami Heat vs Philadelphia 76ers · Mar 1, 2023

Updated Mar 2, 2023 12:41 AM EST

Analysis

Tobias Harris Points Prop is currently Over/Under 15.5 (-114/-106).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 13.5 @ -104 before it was bet up to 15.5 @ -114.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Tobias Harris has converted 2.0 threes per game over the last 15 games on the road, 0.6 more than he's converted from three in all games this year when playing on the road.
Tobias Harris has been on the court for 34.8 minutes per game away from home this year, putting him in the 95th percentile -- putting him among the most-used players in the league.
The Philadelphia 76ers have been the 5th-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA this year.
The Heat have given up the 3rd-least offensive rebounds per game (9.3) in the league to opposing teams this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce further opportunities for scoring and assists).
Tobias Harris has made 100.0% of his free throw attempts over the last 5 games, 16.6% higher than he's sunk over the course of the year.

Favors Under

Tobias Harris has tallied 3.4 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.1 higher than he's tallied in all games this season.
The matchup vs. the Heat is a hard one for threes; the opposition's starting PFs have compiled the 14th-lowest 3-point rate in the league since the start of last season (30.8%).
The Philadelphia 76ers have played at the 2nd-most sluggish pace in the league over the last 10 games.
The Heat have played at the 2nd-most lethargic pace-of-play in the league this year, which ought to reduce plays for the 76ers.
The Philadelphia 76ers check in as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate further chances for scoring and assists).

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