Tobias Harris Points - Player Prop Bet 12/30/2022

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Tobias Harris

NBA · Player Props

Tobias Harris

F · Philadelphia 76ers

Points

New Orleans Pelicans vs Philadelphia 76ers · Dec 30, 2022

Updated Apr 7, 2023 2:41 PM EST

Analysis

Tobias Harris Points Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (-123/-105).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 14.5 @ -104 before it was bet down to 14.5 @ -105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Tobias Harris has made 55.1% of his field goal attempts over the last 10 games, 6.3% more than he's put through the hoop over the course of the year.
Tobias Harris has converted 2.7 treys per game over the last 10 games, 0.6 more than he's sunk overall this year.
Tobias Harris has played 34.2 minutes per game this year, ranking among the most used players in the NBA: 92nd percentile.
The Philadelphia 76ers rank as the 8th-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the league this year away from their home court.
The Pelicans have given up the 8th-most offensive rebounds per game (10.2) in the league to their opposition this year (which can also create additional chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

The matchup against the Pelicans is a tough one for three-point attempts; the other team have averaged the 5th-least three attempts per game in the league this year (37.2).
The Philadelphia 76ers rank as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (which also eliminates additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
The Philadelphia 76ers have played at the least up-tempo pace in the league this year.
The matchup against the Pelicans is a tough one for shot attempts from the field; the other team's starting SFs have tallied the 6th-least FG attempts per game in the NBA this year (11.7).
Tobias Harris will not possess the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home court tends to decreases player production in all stat categories.

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