Tobias Harris Assists - Player Prop Bet 3/5/2024

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Tobias Harris

NBA · Player Props

Tobias Harris

F · Philadelphia 76ers

Assists

Brooklyn Nets vs Philadelphia 76ers · Mar 5, 2024

Updated Mar 6, 2024 12:43 AM EST

Analysis

Tobias Harris Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-110/-121).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ +130 before it was bet up to 3.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Tobias Harris has put up 3.2 assists per game this year, ranking him in the 80th percentile -- near the top of the league by this metric recently.
Tobias Harris has averaged 33.9 minutes per game this year, some of the highest playing time of any player in the league: 91st percentile.
Offensive rebounds preserve possession and result in more chances for scoring and assists, and the 76ers grade out 7thbest in in the league with 11.2 offensive boards per game over the last 25 games.

Favors Under

Tobias Harris has accumulated 2.6 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 0.8 higher than he's accumulated over the course of the season.
The 4th-most lethargic pace offense in the league over the last 5 games has been the Philadelphia 76ers.
The Nets have played at the 2nd-slowest pace in the NBA over the last 5 games, which ought to lead to decreased opportunities for the 76ers.
While playing at home, the Nets have given up the 10th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.4) in the league to opposing squads over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce additional chances for scoring and assists).
Tobias Harris will not enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing without the home court advantage generally worsens stat production for all stats.

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