Tobias Harris Assists - Player Prop Bet 3/3/2024

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Tobias Harris

NBA · Player Props

Tobias Harris

F · Philadelphia 76ers

Assists

Dallas Mavericks vs Philadelphia 76ers · Mar 3, 2024

Updated Mar 3, 2024 9:57 PM EST

Analysis

Tobias Harris Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (+110/-134).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 3.5 @ -125 before it was bet down to 3.5 @ -134.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Tobias Harris has tallied 3.3 assists per game this year, ranking in the 80th percentile -- among the league's best by this standard recently.
Out of all players in the league, Tobias Harris measures in the 91st percentile for playing time, registering a whopping 33.9 minutes per game this year.
The 76ers are expected to see a spike in plays today from sharing the court with the 3rd-speediest tempo home offense in the league over the last 5 games (the Mavericks).
The Philadelphia 76ers check in as the 7th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to additional chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

The 76ers have played at the 4th-slowest tempo in the NBA over the last 5 games.
This year when they are on the road, opposing teams have brought down 11.7 offensive boards per game (3rd-highest in the league) against the Dallas Mavericks (lengthening possessions that can bring about additional chances for offense).
Tobias Harris will likely experience a decrease in production in all facets of the game in light of being on the road in this game.

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