Tobias Harris Assists - Player Prop Bet 1/29/2024

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Tobias Harris

NBA · Player Props

Tobias Harris

F · Philadelphia 76ers

Assists

Portland Trail Blazers vs Philadelphia 76ers · Jan 29, 2024

Updated Jan 30, 2024 3:08 AM EST

Analysis

Tobias Harris Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-122/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 4.5 @ +108 before it was bet up to 4.5 @ -122.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Tobias Harris has posted 4.8 assists per game over the last 5 games away from his home court, 1.5 higher than he's posted over the course of the year on the road.
Out of all players in the league, Tobias Harris comes in at the 92nd percentile for playing time, putting up a colossal 34.2 minutes per game this year.
The Philadelphia 76ers rank as the 10th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce new chances for scoring and assists).
Over the last 5 games when they are on the road, opposing teams have brought down 7.4 offensive rebounds per game (fewest in the league) vs. the Trail Blazers (losing possessions that could otherwise create additional chances for offense).

Favors Under

Tobias Harris has committed 0.2 technical fouls per game over the last 5 games while playing away from home, 0.2 more than he's committed over the course of the season on the road.
The 8th-least up-tempo tempo team in the league over the last 5 games has been the Philadelphia 76ers.
The Trail Blazers have played at the 8th-slowest pace-of-play in the league in their home city this year, which should lead to fewer plays for the Philadelphia 76ers.
Tobias Harris will not enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home stadium usually decreases player production for all stats.

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