Tobias Harris Assists - Player Prop Bet 1/16/2024

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Tobias Harris

NBA · Player Props

Tobias Harris

F · Philadelphia 76ers

Assists

Philadelphia 76ers vs Denver Nuggets · Jan 16, 2024

Updated Jan 17, 2024 12:22 AM EST

Analysis

Tobias Harris Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (+115/-150).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ +115 before it was bet up to 3.5 @ +115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Tobias Harris has posted 4.1 assists per game over the last 10 games, 1.1 higher than he's posted in all games this season.
Out of all players in the league, Tobias Harris registers in the 89th percentile for playing time, posting a monstrous 33.7 minutes per game at home this year.
The 7th-fastest tempo home team in the league over the last 20 games has been the Philadelphia 76ers.
The Philadelphia 76ers check in as the 5th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 20 games when playing at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to added chances for scoring and assists).
When playing away from home, the Denver Nuggets have given up the 10th-least offensive boards per game (10.3) in the league to opposing clubs this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate extra chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Tobias Harris has committed 0.2 technical fouls per game over the last 5 games, 0.2 higher than he's committed over the course of the year.
The Nuggets have played at the 4th-least up-tempo pace in the NBA this year, which should lead to fewer opportunities for the Philadelphia 76ers.

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