Tobias Harris Assists - Player Prop Bet 12/25/2023

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Tobias Harris

NBA · Player Props

Tobias Harris

F · Philadelphia 76ers

Assists

Miami Heat vs Philadelphia 76ers · Dec 25, 2023

Updated Dec 26, 2023 12:58 AM EST

Analysis

Tobias Harris Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-150/+120).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ +120 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ +120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Tobias Harris has averaged 3.6 assists per game over the last 5 games, 0.8 more than he's averaged over the course of the year.
Tobias Harris has played 33.1 minutes per game on the road this year, placing him in the 86th percentile -- ranking among the most used players in the NBA.
Out of all players in the league, Tobias Harris registers in the 23rd percentile for personal fouls, registering just 1.2 fouls per game while on the road this year.
The 8th-speediest pace offense in the league over the last 10 games has been the Philadelphia 76ers.
The Philadelphia 76ers rank as the 9th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce additional chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

The Miami Heat have played at the 2nd-most lethargic pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 20 games, which ought to lead to decreased opportunities for the Philadelphia 76ers.
Over the last 5 games, opposing squads have secured 12.2 offensive boards per game (5th-most in the league) vs. the Miami Heat (continuing possessions that can create extra chances for offense).
Tobias Harris will not have the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home stadium usually lowers player performance across the board.

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