Tobias Harris Assists - Player Prop Bet 3/15/2023

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Tobias Harris

NBA · Player Props

Tobias Harris

F · Philadelphia 76ers

Assists

Cleveland Cavaliers vs Philadelphia 76ers · Mar 15, 2023

Updated Mar 15, 2023 11:42 PM EST

Analysis

Tobias Harris Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-124/+102).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ +104 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ +102.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Tobias Harris has totaled 3.4 assists per game this year, ranking him among the best players in the league by this metric: 83rd percentile.
Tobias Harris has been on the court for 34.8 minutes per game without the home court advantage this year, ranking in the 95th percentile -- some of the highest playing time of any player in the league.
The Cavaliers have given up the 7th-least offensive rebounds per game (9.4) in the NBA to opposing teams over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate further opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Tobias Harris has averaged 3.4 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.1 higher than he's averaged in all games this year.
The Philadelphia 76ers have played at the 2nd-most sluggish pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 10 games.
The Cavaliers have played at the 4th-most sluggish pace in the league over the last 25 games with the home court advantage, which ought to decrease opportunities for the 76ers.
The Philadelphia 76ers rank as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore lead to fewer chances for scoring and assists).
Tobias Harris will not have the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home stadium usually reduces stat production across the board.

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