Tobias Harris Assists - Player Prop Bet 3/4/2023

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Tobias Harris

NBA · Player Props

Tobias Harris

F · Philadelphia 76ers

Assists

Milwaukee Bucks vs Philadelphia 76ers · Mar 4, 2023

Updated Mar 5, 2023 1:17 AM EST

Analysis

Tobias Harris Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-200/+151).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ -196 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ -200.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Tobias Harris has posted 3.4 assists per game this year, placing him among the best players in the NBA by this metric: 83rd percentile.
Tobias Harris has played 34.8 minutes per game away from home this year, ranking him in the 95th percentile -- putting him among the most-used players in the NBA.
The Bucks have played at the 5th-quickest pace in the NBA in their home stadium this year, which ought to raise opportunities for the 76ers.
The Bucks have allowed the least offensive rebounds per game (7.7) in the league to the other team over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate extra opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Tobias Harris has committed 3.4 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.1 more than he's committed over the course of the season.
The Philadelphia 76ers have played at the 2nd-most lethargic pace-of-play in the league over the last 10 games.
The Philadelphia 76ers have been the worst offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce further opportunities for scoring and assists).
Tobias Harris will not receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing away from your home city tends to decreases player performance across the board.

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