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Tobias Harris

Tobias Harris Assists
Player Prop - 3/1/2023

Miami Heat vs Philadelphia 76ers

 
 
 
Tobias Harris Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+128/-154).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ -182 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ +128.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Tobias Harris has averaged 3.4 assists per game this year, placing him among the best players in the league by this standard: 83rd percentile.
  • Tobias Harris has been on the court for 34.8 minutes per game away from home this year, putting him in the 95th percentile -- putting him among the most-used players in the league.
  • The Heat have given up the 3rd-least offensive rebounds per game (9.3) in the league to opposing teams this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce further opportunities for scoring and assists).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Tobias Harris has tallied 3.4 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.1 higher than he's tallied in all games this season.
  • The Philadelphia 76ers have played at the 2nd-most sluggish pace in the league over the last 10 games.
  • The Heat have played at the 2nd-most lethargic pace-of-play in the league this year, which ought to reduce plays for the 76ers.
  • The Philadelphia 76ers check in as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate further chances for scoring and assists).
  • Tobias Harris will not hold the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home stadium usually decreases stat production in all facets of the game.

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