Tobias Harris Assists - Player Prop Bet 3/1/2023

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Tobias Harris

NBA · Player Props

Tobias Harris

F · Philadelphia 76ers

Assists

Miami Heat vs Philadelphia 76ers · Mar 1, 2023

Updated Mar 2, 2023 3:36 AM EST

Analysis

Tobias Harris Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+128/-154).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ -182 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ +128.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Tobias Harris has averaged 3.4 assists per game this year, placing him among the best players in the league by this standard: 83rd percentile.
Tobias Harris has been on the court for 34.8 minutes per game away from home this year, putting him in the 95th percentile -- putting him among the most-used players in the league.
The Heat have given up the 3rd-least offensive rebounds per game (9.3) in the league to opposing teams this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce further opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Tobias Harris has tallied 3.4 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.1 higher than he's tallied in all games this season.
The Philadelphia 76ers have played at the 2nd-most sluggish pace in the league over the last 10 games.
The Heat have played at the 2nd-most lethargic pace-of-play in the league this year, which ought to reduce plays for the 76ers.
The Philadelphia 76ers check in as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate further chances for scoring and assists).
Tobias Harris will not hold the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home stadium usually decreases stat production in all facets of the game.

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