T.J. Warren Points - Player Prop Bet 1/17/2023

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T.J. Warren

NBA · Player Props

T.J. Warren

F · Brooklyn Nets

Points

San Antonio Spurs vs Brooklyn Nets · Jan 17, 2023

Updated Apr 7, 2023 2:41 PM EST

Analysis

T.J. Warren Points Prop is currently Over/Under 15.5 (-110/-120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 13.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 15.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

T.J. Warren has sunk 1.4 threes per game over the last 5 games, 0.6 more than he's made from beyond the arc in all games this year.
The Brooklyn Nets rank as the most efficient shooting team in the NBA on the road this year.
The Nets have played at the 7th-fastest pace in the NBA this year, which ought to lead to increased plays for the Spurs.
The matchup vs. the Spurs may be a favorable one for getting to the foul line; opposing teams have attempted an enormous 22.3 free throws per game this year while playing at home (7th-most in the league).
The matchup against the Spurs is a good one for attempts from downtown; opposing teams have tallied the 7th-most 3-point attempts per game in the league this year (32.3).

Favors Under

T.J. Warren has tallied 0.1 technical fouls per game this year, placing him among the most foul-prone players in the NBA when it comes to technicals (81st percentile).
The matchup vs. the Spurs is a difficult one; they have allowed the least points per game in the league to opposing squads this year (121.7).
The Brooklyn Nets rank as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (which will also lead to fewer chances for scoring and assists).
The Brooklyn Nets have played at the 10th-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA this year.
T.J. Warren will not have the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing away from your home court usually lowers stat production in all facets of the game.

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