T.J. Warren Points - Player Prop Bet 1/15/2023

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T.J. Warren

NBA · Player Props

T.J. Warren

F · Brooklyn Nets

Points

Brooklyn Nets vs Oklahoma City Thunder · Jan 15, 2023

Updated Apr 7, 2023 2:41 PM EST

Analysis

T.J. Warren Points Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (-145/+115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 14.5 @ -125 before it was bet up to 14.5 @ -145.

Key Factors

Favors Over

T.J. Warren has made 51.7% of his 3-point shots over the last 5 games at home, 10.3% higher than he's made from beyond the arc in all games this year at home.
T.J. Warren has successfully made 100.0% of his free throws over the last 5 games, 11.7% more than he's put through the hoop overall this year.
The Brooklyn Nets check in as the most efficient shooting team in the NBA this year.
The Nets have played at the 2nd-quickest pace in the league this year while traveling, which ought to raise opportunities for the Thunder.
The matchup against the Thunder is a good one for scoring; opposing teams have posted the 8th-highest field goal percentage in the NBA this year (46.5%).

Favors Under

The Thunder have allowed the least offensive rebounds per game (12.2) in the league to opposing teams this year (which also eliminates additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
The matchup against the Thunder may be a challenging one for getting to the foul line; opposing teams have attempted a mere 26.0 free throws per game this year (2nd-least in the league).
The Brooklyn Nets check in as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (which will also lead to fewer opportunities for scoring and assists).
The Brooklyn Nets have played at the 10th-most lethargic pace in the NBA this year.

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