T.J. Warren Made 3 Point Shots - Player Prop Bet 5/11/2023

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T.J. Warren

NBA · Player Props

T.J. Warren

F · Phoenix Suns

Made 3 Point Shots

Phoenix Suns vs Denver Nuggets · May 11, 2023

Updated May 11, 2023 9:16 PM EST

Analysis

T.J. Warren Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+120/-150).

Key Factors

Favors Over

The matchup against the Nuggets is a difficult one for three-pointers; opposing clubs have posted the 2nd-lowest 3-point percentage in the league this year (34.2%).
The Phoenix Suns check in as the 7th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce new opportunities for scoring and assists).
T.J. Warren will enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing in your home stadium usually improves player performance in all stat categories.

Favors Under

T.J. Warren has made 23.7% of his three-pointers this year, putting him in the 18th percentile out of all players in the NBA.
The Phoenix Suns rank as the least aggressive offense in the NBA over the last 25 games as it relates to 3-point attempts.
The Phoenix Suns have played at the 9th-least up-tempo pace in the NBA over the last 5 games.
The Nuggets have played at the 4th-most sluggish pace in the NBA over the last 25 games, which ought to decrease possessions for the Suns.
While playing on the road, the Nuggets have given up the 3rd-most offensive rebounds per game (12.0) in the league to opposing clubs over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce new chances for scoring and assists).

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