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T.J. McConnell

T.J. McConnell Points
Player Prop - 3/5/2024

Dallas Mavericks vs Indiana Pacers

 
 
 
T.J. McConnell Points Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (+105/-135).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 8.5 @ +110 before it was bet up to 8.5 @ +105.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • T.J. McConnell has successfully made 59.0% of his shot attempts from the field over the last 10 games, 6.2% more than he's put through the net over the course of the season.
  • Out of all players in the league, T.J. McConnell measures in the 23rd percentile for personal fouls, logging only 1.1 fouls per game this year.
  • The 2nd-fastest pace-of-play offense in the NBA this year has been the Pacers.
  • The Pacers will likely get a boost in possessions in this game from squaring off against the 6th-most up-tempo tempo team in the NBA over the last 10 games (the Dallas Mavericks).
  • Offensive rebounds save possession and bring about bonus chances for scoring and assists, and the Pacers rank 7thbest in in the league with 12.8 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Pacers check in as the 6th-least aggressive offense in the league over the last 25 games as it relates to shot attempts from downtown.
  • This year when they are the visiting squad, opposing teams have brought down 11.8 offensive boards per game (3rd-most in the league) against the Dallas Mavericks (preserving possessions that can result in extra opportunities for offense).
  • Over the last 15 games when they are the visiting team, their opposition has attempted 25.9 free throws per game (most in the league) vs. the Dallas Mavericks, finding it easy to get to the charity stripe.
  • T.J. McConnell should see a decline in performance across the board considering being on the road in this matchup.

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