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T.J. McConnell

T.J. McConnell Made 3 Point Shots
Player Prop - 12/2/2023

Miami Heat vs Indiana Pacers

T.J. McConnell Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+233/-323).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Pacers rank as the 4th-highest scoring offense in the NBA this year with respect to shots from downtown.

The Indiana Pacers have played at the quickest pace in the league when playing at home this year.

The Pacers are expected to see a spike in plays in this game from facing the 9th-fastest pace-of-play away offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Miami Heat).

This year when they are playing at home, opposing squads have collected 9.6 offensive boards per game (5th-lowest in the league) vs. the Heat (diminishing possessions that could otherwise spark extra opportunities for offense).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

T.J. McConnell has successfully made a measly 0.0% of his shots from behind the three-point arc this year, a sizeable decrease from his 32.3 rate last year.

Relative to last season's 19.9 rate, T.J. McConnell's playing time has been reduced this season to 13.5 minutes per game.

This matchup is a strong one for three-pointers; when the Miami Heat are on their home court, opposing squads have averaged the 8th-most treys per game in the league against them this year (13.4).

Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and lead to further chances for scoring and assists, but the Pacers grade out 3rdworst in in the NBA as the away team with a mere 8.6 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games.

T.J. McConnell ought to experience a decrease in effectiveness for all stats as a result of playing on the visting team in this matchup.

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