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T.J. McConnell

T.J. McConnell Assists
Player Prop - 12/2/2023

Miami Heat vs Indiana Pacers

 
 
 
T.J. McConnell Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-149/+115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 4.5 @ -118 before it was bet up to 4.5 @ -149.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • T.J. McConnell has posted a whopping 4.2 assists per game this year, significantly higher than his 5.2 assists per game last year.
  • The Indiana Pacers have played at the quickest pace in the league when playing at home this year.
  • The Pacers are expected to see a spike in plays in this game from facing the 9th-fastest pace-of-play away offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Miami Heat).
  • This year when they are playing at home, opposing squads have collected 9.6 offensive boards per game (5th-lowest in the league) vs. the Heat (diminishing possessions that could otherwise spark extra opportunities for offense).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Relative to last season's 19.9 rate, T.J. McConnell's playing time has been reduced this season to 13.5 minutes per game.
  • Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and lead to further chances for scoring and assists, but the Pacers grade out 3rdworst in in the NBA as the away team with a mere 8.6 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games.
  • T.J. McConnell ought to experience a decrease in effectiveness for all stats as a result of playing on the visting team in this matchup.

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