Tim Hardaway Jr. Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 4/7/2025

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Tim Hardaway Jr.

NBA · Player Props

Tim Hardaway Jr.

G-F · Detroit Pistons

Rebounds

Detroit Pistons vs Sacramento Kings · Apr 7, 2025

Updated Apr 8, 2025 1:08 AM EST

Analysis

Tim Hardaway Jr. Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ +120 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Tim Hardaway Jr. has played 34.2 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 6.1 higher than he's played in all games this year.
The 2nd-quickest pace-of-play offense in the NBA over the last 25 games has been the Detroit Pistons.
The Pistons rank as the 6th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce added opportunities for scoring and assists).
Tim Hardaway Jr. will have the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing at home tends to improve stat production in all stat categories.

Favors Under

Tim Hardaway Jr. has averaged 0.3 offensive boards per game this year, putting him in the company of the worst players in the NBA by this metric: 13th percentile.
The Pistons are expected to see a decline in opportunities in this game from sharing the court with the 5th-slowest tempo visiting team in the league over the last 10 games (the Kings).

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