Tim Hardaway Jr. Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 1/11/2024

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Tim Hardaway Jr.

NBA · Player Props

Tim Hardaway Jr.

G-F · Dallas Mavericks

Rebounds

Dallas Mavericks vs New York Knicks · Jan 11, 2024

Updated Jan 12, 2024 1:32 AM EST

Analysis

Tim Hardaway Jr. Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-141/+107).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 4.5 @ +107 before it was bet up to 4.5 @ -141.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Mavericks have played at the 2nd-quickest tempo in the NBA over the last 10 games.
The Dallas Mavericks will likely see an increase in opportunities in this contest from sharing the court with the 8th-most up-tempo tempo away offense in the league over the last 5 games (the Knicks).
When playing away from home, the Knicks have allowed the 2nd-least offensive boards per game (9.5) in the league to the other team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce additional chances for scoring and assists).
Tim Hardaway Jr. will enjoy the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing with the home court advantage generally boosts player performance for all stats.

Favors Under

Tim Hardaway Jr. has totaled 0.3 offensive rebounds per game this year, putting him in the company of the worst players in the NBA by this metric: 24th percentile.
Tim Hardaway Jr. has been called for 2.4 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games while at home, 0.9 higher than he's been called for in all games this year at home.
Offensive rebounds maintain possession and generate additional opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Mavericks rank 8thworst in in the league as the home team with only 9.4 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games.

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