Tim Hardaway Jr. Points - Player Prop Bet 1/11/2026

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Tim Hardaway Jr.

NBA · Player Props

Tim Hardaway Jr.

G-F · Denver Nuggets

Points

Denver Nuggets vs Milwaukee Bucks · Jan 11, 2026

Updated Jan 12, 2026 1:34 AM EST

Analysis

Tim Hardaway Jr. Points Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (-135/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 12.5 @ -118 before it was bet up to 14.5 @ -135.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Tim Hardaway Jr. has tallied 17.3 points per game over the last 10 games, 3.8 higher than he's tallied over the course of the year.
With respect to scoring, the Nuggets's outstanding 123.1 points per game rates best in the NBA this year.
The matchup vs. Milwaukee is a positive one for threes; when the Bucks are the visiting squad, the other team's starting SGs have shot for the 5th-highest 3-point percentage in the NBA this year (43.5%).

Favors Under

The 4th-least up-tempo pace-of-play team in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Nuggets.
The Milwaukee Bucks have played at the 4th-most lethargic pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games while traveling, which ought to decrease possessions for the Denver Nuggets.
Offensive rebounds save possession and result in added opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Denver Nuggets rank 1stworst in in the league with only 8.3 offensive boards per game over the last 20 games.
The matchup vs. the Milwaukee Bucks may be a tough one for getting to the foul line; the other team's starting SGs have attempted a lowly 1.2 foul shots per game over the last 5 games (4th-least in the league).

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