Tim Hardaway Jr. Points - Player Prop Bet 12/29/2025

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Tim Hardaway Jr.

NBA · Player Props

Tim Hardaway Jr.

G-F · Denver Nuggets

Points

Miami Heat vs Denver Nuggets · Dec 29, 2025

Updated Dec 30, 2025 12:34 AM EST

Analysis

Tim Hardaway Jr. Points Prop is currently Over/Under 16.5 (-105/-125).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 15.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 16.5 @ -105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Denver Nuggets rank as the highest scoring offense in the NBA this year.
This year, the other team's starting SGs have averaged 6.3 three attempts per game (highest in the league) vs. the Miami Heat, designating this as a good matchup.
The Nuggets will likely see an increase in opportunities in this game from squaring off against the quickest tempo offense in the NBA this year (the Heat).
The matchup against Miami is a strong one for getting to the foul line; the opposing team's starting SGs have attempted a monstrous 3.4 foul shots per game this year when the Miami Heat are at home (9th-most in the league).

Favors Under

The 5th-most sluggish pace visiting team in the league this year has been the Nuggets.
Offensive rebounds retain possession and create more chances for scoring and assists, but the Nuggets rank 1stworst in in the league with only 8.8 offensive boards per game over the last 10 games.

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