Tim Hardaway Jr. Points - Player Prop Bet 12/25/2025

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Tim Hardaway Jr.

NBA · Player Props

Tim Hardaway Jr.

G-F · Denver Nuggets

Points

Denver Nuggets vs Minnesota Timberwolves · Dec 25, 2025

Updated Dec 26, 2025 3:28 AM EST

Analysis

Tim Hardaway Jr. Points Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (-110/-104).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 12.5 @ -124 before it was bet up to 13.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Denver Nuggets have been the highest scoring offense in the NBA this year.
This year when they are playing at home, the other team's starting SGs have averaged 2.6 3-pointers per game (4th-highest in the NBA) vs. the Minnesota Timberwolves, designating this as a good matchup.
The Nuggets are expected to see an increase in opportunities today from competing against the 10th-speediest tempo visiting team in the league over the last 10 games (the Minnesota Timberwolves).

Favors Under

The Denver Nuggets have played at the 8th-least up-tempo pace in the league over the last 15 games.
Offensive rebounds preserve possession and create bonus opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Nuggets grade out 1stworst in in the NBA with just 7.9 offensive boards per game over the last 10 games.
Over the last 20 games, opposing starting SGs have attempted 2.2 foul shots per game (2nd-lowest in the league) against the Minnesota Timberwolves, struggling to draw fouls.

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