Tim Hardaway Jr. Points - Player Prop Bet 4/29/2025

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Tim Hardaway Jr.

NBA · Player Props

Tim Hardaway Jr.

G-F · Detroit Pistons

Points

New York Knicks vs Detroit Pistons · Apr 29, 2025

Updated Apr 30, 2025 2:28 AM EST

Analysis

Tim Hardaway Jr. Points Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 11.5 @ -105 before it was bet up to 12.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Tim Hardaway Jr. has converted 4.8 baskets per game over the last 5 games on the road, 1.5 higher than he's made in all games this year on the road.
Tim Hardaway Jr. has attempted 8.2 three-pointers per game over the last 10 games, 2.1 more than he's attempted in all games this year.
This year when they are on the road, the opposition's starting SGs have scored 21.5 points per game (most in the league) vs. the Knicks, branding this as a positive matchup for offensive performance.
The 2nd-speediest tempo road team in the league over the last 25 games has been the Detroit Pistons.
Offensive rebounds retain possession and produce further opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Detroit Pistons rank 3rd-best in in the NBA as the visting team with 12.7 offensive rebounds per game over the last 10 games.

Favors Under

In regard to shots from behind the three-point arc, the 6th-least aggressive team in the league over the last 20 games has been the Pistons.
The Pistons are expected to suffer a reduction in possessions in this game from squaring off against the 3rd-slowest tempo team in the NBA over the last 15 games (the New York Knicks).
Over the last 10 games when they are the visiting squad, the other team's starting SGs have attempted 1.9 foul shots per game (3rd-fewest in the league) vs. the New York Knicks, finding it difficult to get to the foul line.
Tim Hardaway Jr. stands to experience a decrease in production in all stat categories as a result of being on the road in this matchup.

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