Tim Hardaway Jr. Points - Player Prop Bet 4/27/2025

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Tim Hardaway Jr.

NBA · Player Props

Tim Hardaway Jr.

G-F · Detroit Pistons

Points

Detroit Pistons vs New York Knicks · Apr 27, 2025

Updated Apr 27, 2025 4:31 PM EST

Analysis

Tim Hardaway Jr. Points Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 9.5 @ -140 before it was bet up to 10.5 @ -125.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Tim Hardaway Jr. has made 3.2 shots from behind the three-point arc per game over the last 10 games at home, 0.7 more than he's made in all games this year when playing at home.
Out of all players in the league, Tim Hardaway Jr. lands in the 76th percentile for playing time, posting a colossal 28.0 minutes per game this year.
The matchup against the Knicks is a positive one for 3-point shots; the opposition's starting SGs have put up the highest 3-point percentage in the NBA this year (44.7%).
The Pistons have played at the 7th-fastest pace in the league over the last 25 games.
The Detroit Pistons rank as the 8th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce additional chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

The Detroit Pistons check in as the 6th-lowest scoring offense in the league at home this year in terms of shots from behind the three-point arc.
The Pistons are expected to suffer a drop-off in possessions in this game from squaring off against the 3rd-most sluggish pace-of-play visiting offense in the league this year (the New York Knicks).
The matchup vs. the Knicks is a difficult one for getting to the charity stripe; the other team's starting SGs have attempted just 1.9 foul shots per game this year (4th-least in the league).

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