Tim Hardaway Jr. Points - Player Prop Bet 4/19/2025

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Tim Hardaway Jr.

NBA · Player Props

Tim Hardaway Jr.

G-F · Detroit Pistons

Points

New York Knicks vs Detroit Pistons · Apr 19, 2025

Updated Apr 19, 2025 10:09 PM EST

Analysis

Tim Hardaway Jr. Points Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-120/-108).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 9.5 @ -106 before it was bet down to 9.5 @ -108.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Tim Hardaway Jr. has sunk 3.1 3-point shots per game over the last 10 games, 0.9 higher than he's made in all games this year.
The matchup against New York is a strong one; when the Knicks are at home, they have given up the most points per game in the NBA to the other team's starting SGs this year (21.5).
The quickest tempo away offense in the league over the last 20 games has been the Detroit Pistons.
Offensive rebounds maintain possession and result in added opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Pistons rank 3rd-best in in the league when playing on the road with 13.6 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games.
Tim Hardaway Jr. has successfully made 100.0% of his foul shot attempts over the last 5 games, 18.0% more than he's sunk overall this season.

Favors Under

The Knicks have played at the 2nd-least up-tempo pace in the NBA over the last 20 games, which ought to lead to decreased opportunities for the Pistons.
Over the last 10 games when they are the visiting squad, the opposition's starting SGs have attempted 1.9 foul shots per game (3rd-lowest in the league) vs. the Knicks, struggling to get to the charity stripe.
Tim Hardaway Jr. is expected to suffer a drop-off in efficiency in all facets of the game due to playing on the visting team in this game.

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