Tim Hardaway Jr. Points - Player Prop Bet 4/7/2025

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Tim Hardaway Jr.

NBA · Player Props

Tim Hardaway Jr.

G-F · Detroit Pistons

Points

Detroit Pistons vs Sacramento Kings · Apr 7, 2025

Updated Apr 8, 2025 1:08 AM EST

Analysis

Tim Hardaway Jr. Points Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (-110/-120).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 13.5 @ -125 before it was bet down to 12.5 @ -120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Tim Hardaway Jr. has successfully made 4.2 3-point shots per game over the last 5 games, 2.0 higher than he's converted from beyond the arc in all games this season.
Tim Hardaway Jr. has played 34.2 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 6.1 higher than he's played in all games this year.
This year, the other team's starting SFs have tallied 2.3 threes per game (3rd-most in the league) against the Kings, designating this as a favorable matchup.
The 2nd-quickest pace-of-play offense in the NBA over the last 25 games has been the Detroit Pistons.
The Pistons rank as the 6th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce added opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

In regard to 3-pointers, the Pistons's poor 12.4 sunk threes per game while playing at home settles in as the 3rd-worst in the league this year.
The Pistons are expected to see a decline in opportunities in this game from sharing the court with the 5th-slowest tempo visiting team in the league over the last 10 games (the Kings).

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