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Tim Hardaway Jr.

Tim Hardaway Jr. Points
Player Prop - 3/19/2025

Miami Heat vs Detroit Pistons

Tim Hardaway Jr. Points Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-105/-125).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 9.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 9.5 @ -125.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Out of all players in the league, Tim Hardaway Jr. rates in the 82nd percentile for shot attempts from beyond the arc on the road, posting 5.2 per game this year.

The Detroit Pistons have been the highest scoring offense in the league over the last 10 games while playing away from home.

This year, the other team's starting SGs have averaged 6.3 three attempts per game (most in the NBA) vs. the Heat, identifying this as a strong matchup.

The fastest pace-of-play offense in the NBA over the last 20 games has been the Pistons.

This year when they are on the road, the other team's starting SGs have attempted 3.4 foul shots per game (9th-highest in the NBA) vs. the Miami Heat, succeeding in their efforts to get to the free-throw line.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Tim Hardaway Jr. has attempted a mere 8.6 field goals per game this season, quite a bit lower than his 11.1 rate last season.

The Miami Heat have played at the most sluggish pace-of-play in the league at home this year, which should decrease plays for the Detroit Pistons.

Offensive rebounds preserve possession and result in added chances for scoring and assists, but the Detroit Pistons rank 8thworst in in the league when playing away from home with a mere 10.0 offensive rebounds per game over the last 25 games.

Tim Hardaway Jr. will likely suffer a drop-off in production in all stat categories in light of playing away from home in this game.

More Tim Hardaway Jr. Player Props

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